- What is MSR initiative?
- Why New Maritime Silk Road?
- How to implement Maritime Silk Road? (2+7)
- India’s stand on Maritime Silk Road?
- New updates
Old topic, carving out separate article for continuity in revision of another topic i.e. Xi’s India visit.
In 2013, both leaders of China announced this initiative:
- President Xi Jinping @Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Bishkek.
- PM (Premier) Li Keqiang @ASEAN+China summit in Brunei.
- Connect 12 inland Chinese regions with 14 neighboring countries. (revive ancient silk road)
- Get new export markets
- Secure lanes to import raw material.
- Counter the influence of USA and Russia.
Yes why does China want to build New Silk road? Why not simply build military naval ports in chillar nations like Pakistan and SriLanka and nuke India and USA to obliteration!?
#1: Economic reasons
- Subprime crisis => global economic crisis => Fed Tapering=> less FDI and import orders from US and EU.
- Result? China’s “Export & FDI” driven economic model is losing its effect.
- China needs to find new export markets (those 14 neighbor countries).
- Just like we have India vs Bharat- similarly China has “Rich Coastal areas vs poorly developed interior regions.”
- The growing disparity between Coastal China vs Inland China = creating social problems, helping extremists and junta demanding for democracy. Hence China needs to develop those 12 inland regions (mostly located in Western Part of China).
#2: Defusing tension
- Since 2011, because of South China Sea dispute, China’s relations became bitter with- Cambodia, Laos, Thailand, Malaysia, Japan. New Silk Road policy seems to be aimed at defusing tensions- via soft language and economic offer.
- This can be seen as China’s “olive branch” to ASEAN countries.
#3: Countering US+Russia
China wants to counter / balance following:
- USA’s Pivot Policy in Asia Pacific
- USA’s proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)
- U.S. support for democratic transition in Myanmar
- USA’s security cooperation with Singapore, the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Brunei.
- Russia’s proposed “Customs Union” (now Crimea will give’em access Black sea and Suez Canal.)
#4: Strategic supply lines
- Strait of Malacca= pirate infested waters but >80% of imports to China come from this route. China wants to secure this lane.
- China wants to gain access to Bengal Bay and Indian Ocean = Need better relations with Myanmar and ASEAN.
The gist of New Maritime Silk Route is
- Develop port cities along the silk route
- above the wind region: Indian Ocean
- Below the wind region: Malacca, South China Sea, Java Sea and Far East.
- Via these port cities, link Asia and Africa with Chinese hinterland.
This will be implemented via 2+7 cooperation framework.
|#1: Strategic relation|
|#2: Economic cooperation|
- sign China-ASEAN good neighbor treaty
- get maximum benefit from China ASEAN FTA
- Conclude RCEP by 2015. China led Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP)= the FTA between ASEAN and China, Japan, South Korea, India, Australia and New Zealand); eliminate trade barriers.
- Regional financial cooperation (to prevent subprime/ BoP crisis) – recall that China gave maximum funding to BRICS Bank’s emergency fund against Fed Tapering.
- Maritime cooperation- Already working on Gwadar (Pak), Hambantota (SriLanka) and Chittagong (Bangladesh). Proposal for Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar (BCIM) corridor
- security cooperation
- People to people contact for culture, science and environment.
- As per PTI reports, the Chinese Officials discussed this with NSA Shivshankar Menon and asked India to join in the Maritime Silk road (MSR) project.
- But then Mohan got too busy denying Modi ki Lahar, Sanjay Baru ki Kitaab, with Elections hence MSR decision postponed.
Presently, India has two opposite options:
- Work together with China, let’em gain presence in Indian ocean and reap the collateral economic benefits from this project.
- Don’t work with China, and prevent Chinese influence in Indian Ocean.
The Next government will take the final decision.
- Xi invited India, Sri Lanka and Maldives to join Maritime Silk road (MSR) initiative
- But Modi remained non-committal, saying it requires mutual trust, stability, respect, free flow of commerce and ideas.
- In other words, if China opens up its economy to indian goods and services, helps reducing India’s trade deficit, maintains peace @border region, then we’ll consider joining M.S.R.
Answer following in 200 words each:
- What is China’s new Maritime Silk Road Policy? How is it different from its String of Pearls strategy sufficient?
- Discuss India’s strategic and economic interests in Maritime Silk Roa proposal. Should India accept President Xi’s invitation to join it?