[Disinvestment] Timeline, Methods, Pro & Anti Arguments, Modi Policy on PSU reforms and Disinvestment

Economy13 Comments

India Yearbook
  1. Prologue
  2. Disinvestment Timeline in India
  3. Two methods of disinvestment
  4. Retail investors’ participation? Hardly!
  5. Disinvestment: arguments in favor and against
  6. Modi-Reform1: Disinvesting NHPC, Coal India, ONGC
  7. Modi Reform2: Revive 5 and shut down 6
  8. Mock Questions

Prologue

Combining Disinvestment theory and current affairs topics scattered around

  1. Akshay Dhadda and Ashok Charan’s entries under the erstwhile write2win competition.
  2. Sept.Week2: Disinterment in NHPC, Coal India and ONGC
  3. Sept. Week3: Two Methods of disinvestment- benefits and limitations.
  4. Sept. Week4: Government to shut down 5 PSUs and revive 6.

Disinvestment Timeline in India

  • Disinvestment: When Government sells its shares of a PSU, to private sector company / individual.
  • Privatization: when Government sells so many shares, that it no longer remains the majority shareholder of the given PSU.
1991
  • Interim budget, Government announced 20% disinvestment in selected PSUs.
  • Their shares were sold to Mutual funds and financial institutions (UTI, EPFO, LIC etc.)
1992
  • Government decides to sells shares to FIIs, PSU employees and banks.
1993Rangarajan Committee suggests:

  1. 49% disinvestment in PSUs reserved for public sector
  2. 74% disinvestment in all other PSUs

Government did not implement.

1996Disinvestment commission under GV Ramakrishna. It was a non-statutory, advisory body (similar to UPA’s NAC).
1998-2000Vajpayee Government classifies PSUs into two parts

  1. Strategic: arms-ammunition, railway, nuke energy etc.=> here we won’t do disinvestment
  2. Non-strategic: those not in above category.=> here we will do disinvestment in a phased manner. Hindustan Zinc, BALCO, Maruti Disinvestment taken up.

To implement above policy, Department of disinvestment setup under Finance ministry. (first there was disinvestment ministry, then department….not going into all ball by ball commentary)

2004UPA comes into power, Common Minimum program (CMP) updates disinvestment policy

  • Sick PSUs will be revived
  • No disinvestment in profit making PSUs
  • PSUs will get commercial autonomy
2005Whatever Money Government earns from selling its PSU shares- it’ll goto National investment fund (NIF). Click me to read more about it.
2005-09Disinvestment remains stagnant because Left allies of the UPA Government stonewall everything.
2009 onwards
  • UPA-2 without left parties. Government resumes disinvestment process.
  • All PSUs can be disinvested, but upper limit: 49%
  • Disinvestment Method: only public offer.
2013-14Chindu wanted to earn 40,000 crores via disinvestment of Indian Oil, BHEL, NHPC, Neyveli lignite etc. but hardly managed to get ~16,000 crores. Main reasons for #EPICFAIL:

  1. Oil ministry, mining ministry, trade unions opposed the move, files were delayed.
  2. Lukewarm response from investors because sharemarket was down due to internal & external factors.
2014
  • Modi cabinet approves disinvestment in NHPC, Coal India, ONGC
  • 6 EPICFAIL PSUs will be closed down.
  • 5 loss making but viable PSUs will be revived.

Two methods of disinvestment

IIPVia stock exchange
Via Institutional placement program. Directly selling the shares to another company / institution / mutual fund or other large player.Directly selling shares on stock exchange
Requires more clearances.
  • Faster, needs less clearances.
  • SEBI requires in each PSU, minimum 25% shares be held by public.
  • Hence Government using this method to quickly comply with SEBI norms.
Friendly to institutional investors (Mutual funds, pension /insurance funds etc.)Friendly to retail investors.

Retail investors’ participation? Hardly!

  • So, In theory, disinvestment via stock exchange = retail investors should be able to purchase those sarkaari shares.
  • But, after disinvestment, the market price and issue price of the company shares start converging.
  • Therefore, a retail investor cannot reap the benefit (by selling it to third party at higher price). He’ll have to wait for medium to long term before company share prices begin to rise again.
  • But retail investors don’t like to wait that long, hence disinvestment doesn’t generate interest of retail investors.

Solution: ETF exchange traded funds. Click me to learn more about it.

Disinvestment: arguments in favor and against

AgainstIn Favour
  • Socialist / leftist ideology: private sector cannot achieve equal distribution of resources for all classes.
  • Private enterprises only focus on profit maximization. They won’t cater poor people.
  • Therefore Government needs to control all or some industrial sectors.
  • Such Government controlled units cannot compete in free market economy due to political interference and price control mechanisms.
  • Ultimately more public money is wasted in running these loss making entities.
  • Government’s dividend income will decline. (Because they’ll have less shares).
  • Consequently, Fiscal deficit will increase.
  • Whatever “dividend” Government earned so far- compared to that, Government has spent far more crores rupees to revive these PSUs.
  • There is no point in throwing good money after bad money.
  • A survey indicated 0.5% retail participation (i.e. Aam Admi investment) in equity market.
  • Meaning, only Large corporates and financial institutions will benefit from this drive.
  • It’ll not help in “financial inclusion”
  • Absurd logic, that just because corporates will benefit, we shouldn’t begin disinvestment.
  • Government already taken plenty of initiatives on financial inclusion front.
The funds received from disinvestment are used to finance fiscal deficit. This is unhealthy practise, like selling family gold to buy daily dose of desi liquor.Need amendments in FRBM act to ensure this doesn’t happen.
  • After disinvestment employees of PSUs will loss their jobs
  • If board of directors have many private sector experts- they may approve plans to reduce staff strength, to increase profitability.
  • Overstaffing = One of the main reasons why PSUs don’t make optimum profit. At some point we’ve to swallow the bitter pill.
  • Besides, such employees are given attractive VRS offers.
Disinvestment would lead to private monopoliesDragging the logic too far. Unlikely to happen in today’s world. CCI is always watching and punishing the firms that try to create monopoly or oligopoly.
Allegations  that PSEs are sold cheap to preferred parties e.g. BALCO
  • That used to happen in 90s era, when Government sold shares to specific private companies at an arbitrary price.
  • But, Unlikely to happen if shares directly sold via stock exchange. + CAG, Media very active these days.
  • To complete the disinvestment targets, Government asks one PSUs to buy shares of another PSU.
  • e.g. ordering LIC to buy ONGC’s shares…Iski topi uske sir pe…. In such cases, disinvestment doesn’t decrease Government control over those companies.
Need for a clear policy on disinvestment to stop this practice.

Speed of Disinvestment

Should India adopt rapid pace of disinvestment/privatization or move with a slow pace?  Taking example of disinvestment process of other countries:

Disinvestment Speed
Rapid speed
  • 1993: Czech Republic disinvested ~1000 state owned enterprises.
  • Russia did same.
  • Results were disappointing in both the cases.
  • Hence rapid approach=  not recommended for India
Slow speed
  • China- after more “Open Door Policy” in 1978.
  • But speed too slow- thousands of enterprises still under Government ownership.
Middle speedMost suitable for India

Modi PSU-reform1: Disinvesting NHPC, Coal India, ONGC

Data not important except for random GK in non-UPSC exams & interviews
OrgunderMinistrygovt.shareholdingApproved
disinvestment
Issues
NHPCPower86%11.36%
  • Has 20 hydroelectric power stations.
  • Unable to recover dues from electricity utility companies=> company making huge losses.
  • Hence it share price won’t fetch truckload of cash to Government.
Coal India Ltdcoal~90%10%
  • Labour union strike may bring down share price. So Government maynot earn truckload of cash from selling these coal India shares.
ONGCpetroleum~69%5%
  • Maharatna PSU
  • If Government clears the gas price policy, ONGC’s share prices will go up (And after that Government should sell it- to earn truckload of cash).

Note: in PSUs, Government owns the shares, in the name of President of India.

Modi PSU-reform2: Revive 5 and shut down 6

2014, Sep. week2: Union Government finished reviewing 11 PSUs: 5 worth savings and 6 worth closing.

Names not important except for random GK in bank exams
6 epicfails beyond saving5 worth saving
  1. Hindustan Photo Films
  2. HMT Bearings
  3. HMT Watches
  4. HMT Chinar Watches
  5. Hindustan Cables.
  6. Tungabhadra Steel Products Ltd
  1. HMT Machine Tools
  2. Heavy Engineering Corporation
  3. NEPA
  4. Nagaland Paper & Pulp Co
  5. Triveni Structurals
These will be given 1000 crore rupees to give VRS to employees then shut down operations. Total employees ~3600

October week2: HMT watches in news, because they’ve tied up with flipkart.com to sell away the remaining stock of wrist watches.

Disinvestment & shutting down HMT watches

Mock Questions

MCQs:

  1. Non-UPSC exams: Trivial fact based questions- In September 2014, Government approved closing down Which of the following companies? How many crores does Government want to make from disinvestment?
  2. CSAT: assertion-reasoning, cause consequences type.  Which of the statements are correct about disinvestment process in India / NIF etc.

Mains: Answer following in 200 words each:

  1. Outline the main objectives and achievements of the policy of disinvestment in India? [Mains 2002]
  2. The Public sector undertakings have lost relevance in the post 1991 Indian economy. Do you agree? Justify your stand.
  3. Public sector undertakings in India, have often been criticized for their poor efficiency and low profitability. Examine the reasons and suggest remedies.

Mrunal recommends

  1. (free) NCERT, NIOS, TN-Books
  2. Environment by ShankarIAS
  3. Indian Polity M.Laxmikanth (Hindi | English)
  4. Art & Culture by Nitin Singhania (Hindi | English)
  5. Spectrum: Modern History (Hindi | English)
  6. Bipin Chandra: Post Independence
  7. Fast-track to Arithmetic Rajesh Verma
  8. MK Pandey’s Analytical Reasoning
  9. Disha’s Topicwise Paperset (Hindi | English)
  10. School Atlas
  11. Mains: Language papers
  1. (free) NCERT, NIOS, TN-Books 4 History,Geo,Sci
  2. Indian Polity M.Laxmikanth (Hindi | English)
  3. Spectrum: Modern History (Hindi | English)
  4. Maths: Quantam CAT Sarvesh Kumar
  5. Objective General English SP Bakshi
  6. Word Power made Easy -Norman Lowe
  7. Topic wise Solved Paperset by Disha


So far 13 Comments posted

  1. thrinath

    nice article sir
    AS USUAL

    THANK YOU

  2. phoenix-do or die

    Thanks Mrunal. One more question can be added from mains perspective – “Is the restructuring of PSUs to make them more competitive a better strategy to enhance their relevance, rather than the tacit policy of privatizing them?”

  3. Chandan singh

    Mrunal sir

    Two doubts

    1.Why after disinvestment market price and selling price starts converging?

    2.How ETFs provide solution for this to retail investor? Why the same theory of price convergence does not applies on them?

    Will be very greatfull if u clears these doubts.

    Regards
    e

    1. Arjun Suresh

      Chandan,

      Generally, by emotion in the market at first sight when a disinvestment happens; people(public, institutional investors) will be skeptical about the political-managerial environmental change happening in the company. It would take 1-3yrs to stabilise the stock price in the market to have a functioning company in its fullest sense. For eg: Say a news appears, Warren Buffet selling stock of Microsoft. The general reception would be; a well reputed investor is not seeing value in that company anymore and is worried about the internal situation in the board so further sell-off happens.

      People(Aam Admi/Retail) invest their hard earned savings to beat the inflation and see good returns. For him/her 3 yrs is a high time.

      Price Converging affects ETFs also. They are generally passive investment instruments. ETFs generally spend less on fund managing where as mutual funds spends a lot for a reputed fund managers to get good investments. Hence the return from Mutual Fund could be cut a “certain percentage” as “entry fee” and/or “exit fee or load”.

      Please correct me where I am wrong.

  4. Fan of Mrunal

    @Mrunal sir
    If possible, Kindly create sub-heads for GS-I, II, III & IV under “Mains” head, so that all articles relating to these papers can be through sub-heads at one place,
    bcoz it will be very convenient/time saving for us to navigate the website

  5. Akshay Dhadda

    Thank you Mrunal for mentioning my name.

  6. vejay

    @Mrunal : As “Fans of Mrunal” said -> please create sub heading in a new tab “Mains” and under that arrange these current affairs so that it will be useful for us to read and correlate . Thank you

  7. shiva

    Anyone please tell me if we applied for prelims but did not attend the exam will it count as an attempt?

  8. civil service aspirant

    sir i have a doubt. what is the difference between psu reserved for public sector and other psu?

  9. aditi

    this information is really useful..thanks !! especially the timeline of disinvestment till date is very informative

  10. Bikashfree

    Sir, great job by you…. but one humble request… since u are asking questions from year book, kindly mention just the chapter and page no (if possible) in the answer.. so that it would be easy for us to clear our doubts by referring to relevant portion of YB…. the short ans you provide often seems inadequate.. Hope, this would not be difficult to do…

  11. Johnson

    It’s a Great job:-)

Write your message!